Data reconstruction of two actuarial metrics by staking machine learning models

Autores

  • Amaury de Souza Amaral Pontifícia Universidade Católica de São Paulo
  • Jardel Marques Monti Pontifícia Universidade Católica de São Paulo
  • Segundo Parra Milián Universidade Estadual Paulista

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.59681/2175-4411.v15.iEspecial.2023.1095

Palavras-chave:

Artificial Intelligence, Process Optimization, Supplementary Health

Resumo

Objective: A large part of Brazilian’s health care is financed by health insurance plans, which readjustments have been questioned in the courts. The data from court cases tends to not be readily available. Therefore, in order to reconstruct the data, we developed a metric using Deep Learning techniques to obtain data estimations. Method: After analyzing the data obtained from the Regulatory Agency, we trained three different supervised learning algorithms aiming to obtain information through an optimization problem. We used the Augmented Lagrangian method aiming to include the constraints into the cost function and Simulated Annealing to minimize it. Results: Consistent as expected, the stacking performance outperformed the base learners. Conclusions: With the results obtained it was possible to obtain the retroactive average cost per claim and frequency information, fetched from the "health plan's past".

Biografia Autor

Segundo Parra Milián, Universidade Estadual Paulista

Instituto de Física Teórica – IFT - Universidade Estadual Paulista – São Paulo

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Publicado

2023-07-20

Como Citar

Amaral, A. de S., Monti, J. M., & Milián, S. P. (2023). Data reconstruction of two actuarial metrics by staking machine learning models. Journal of Health Informatics, 15(Especial). https://doi.org/10.59681/2175-4411.v15.iEspecial.2023.1095

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